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Breast Cancer Nomogram : Disclaimer

The prediction tools (also known as prognostic nomograms) available on Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center's ("MSK") website use algorithms or mathematical formulas to estimate the probability of a particular outcome. They are for general health information only. The tools have not been reviewed or approved by any regulatory agencies in the United States or elsewhere, and are not intended for use as a medical device. The tools are not to be used as a substitute for medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment of any health condition or problem. Users of the prediction tools should not rely on any resulting information for their own health problems. Outputs from these tools are estimates based on survival models built from databases of large numbers of patients. The predictions suggested by these tools may not apply to a given individual. A licensed clinician should always be consulted for any health problem(s) or medical condition(s).

Users agree to use the prediction tools for educational and/or research purposes only, and not for any commercial purposes, including the distribution, licensing, or sale of their content to any other person or entity, whether alone or in combination with other materials, or the incorporation of any of the prediction tools into any commercial product.

MSK makes no warranties, nor express or implied representations whatsoever, regarding the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, comparative or controversial nature, or usefulness of any information contained or referenced in the prediction tools. MSK does not assume any risk whatsoever for use of the prediction tools or the information contained therein. As health-related information changes frequently, information contained in the prediction tools may be outdated, incomplete, or incorrect.

Use of the prediction tools does not create an express or implied physician-patient relationship. MSK does not endorse or claim validity for the prediction tools found on MSK's website. The activities and products of MSK and its developers and agents (collectively MSK) are not endorsed by past, present, or future employers. MSK does not record specific prediction tool user information and does not contact users of the prediction tools.

Users are advised to consult with a physician or other professional healthcare provider prior to making any decisions, or undertaking any actions or not undertaking any actions related to any healthcare problem or issue that users might have at any time, now or in the future. In using the prediction tools, users agree that neither MSK nor any other party is or will be liable or otherwise responsible for any decision made or any action taken or any action not taken due to the use of any information resulting from the prediction tools on MSK's website.

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Breast Cancer Nomogram: Ductal Carcinoma In Situ (DCIS) Recurrence

In consultation with a physician, this tool can be used by patients who have had breast-conserving surgery to treat ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) to predict the likelihood that their breast cancer will return in the same breast that was originally treated. Patients can use this information to make decisions regarding various treatment options, such as radiation therapy and anti-estrogen therapy.

CalculateClearEnter Your Information

Enter age at the time of diagnosis.
years old (25 to 90)
Select YES if there are first- (e.g., mother or sister) or second-degree (e.g., paternal aunt or grandmother) relatives with breast cancer.
Select Clinical if there was an abnormality on physical examination; select Radiologic if an abnormality was seen only on breast imaging studies (e.g., mammography).
Select YES if radiation therapy is given after breast-conserving surgery.
Select YES if anti-estrogen treatment (e.g., tamoxifen, raloxifene).
Select the nuclear grade from the pathology report. (Low = slight or no variation in the size and shape of the cell nuclei; Intermediate/High = moderate to marked variation in the size and shape of the cell nuclei.)
Select YES if the pathology report states that there was necrosis associated with the DCIS.
Select “Negative” if there is a margin width of at least 2 mm. Select “Positive or Close” if margin width is 2 mm or less.
Indicate the number of surgical excisions that were required.
excisions (1 to 4)
Indicate the year surgery was performed.
year (1991 to present)

Learn More About Your Results

A Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Local Recurrence After Breast-Conserving Surgery for DCIS.

This tool predicts the likelihood that a patient’s breast cancer will recur in the same breast after receiving breast-conserving surgery for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS).

Supporting Publication

Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Local Recurrence After Breast-Conserving Surgery for Ductal Carcinoma In Situ. Rudloff U, Jacks LM, Goldberg JI, Wynveen CA, Brogi E, Patil S, Van Zee KJ. J Clin Oncol. 2010 Jul 12. PMID: 20625132